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A serious EL Niño event  is active! Strongest hurricane ever recorded, Patricia is expected Friday 23. October 2015 __Hurricane Patricia: Mexico awaits ‘strongest ever’ storm (BBC: 23/10 ,16h UTC) http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-34614864 How was it in California September 1939, with four storms, heat wave, heavy rain and ….the only tropical storm to make landfall in California in Continue Reading

Climate variability in the North Atlantic is atmosphere driven a new study claims. [ScienceDaily, 15 October 2015] explaining: that the pattern of the AMO*) can be accounted for by atmospheric circulation alone, without any role for the ocean circulation. Is that serious? The AMO pattern is based on statistical analyses of observational and proxy climate Continue Reading

Frequently heard; there is confusion between weather and climate. For real? Is it not due to poor definitions? Talking about weather foremost requires selecting on what weather pattern one needs or wants to talk about. The British know it, others as well. For ordinary men it may be entertaining, but in science it is a Continue Reading

Weather will get interesting over the next months. Speculations are high. A rapidly strengthening El Niño event will likely peak later this fall as one of the strongest El Niño event ever observed (24/09).  There is an approximately 95% chance that El Niño will continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2015-16, gradually weakening through spring 2016 Continue Reading

What will strongest ever El Niño, widely named ‘Godzilla’, do to Europe’s coming winter?    Generally, El Niño could cause a jet stream configuration to allow for cold air at times into West-Europe, says accuweather. NOAA forecast predicts differently (Fig), temperatures well above mean. 1939 was as also an El Niño year, but Europe suffered Continue Reading

21 September 2015 /admin Science has not yet explained why Norther Europe warms more than the rest of the world (REF.) Any impact of ocean use has not crossed their mind.  Today further 80 offshore wind turbines north of Rügen start-up, at a location which is between 23 to 40m deep. Over the seasons the Continue Reading

Skeptics are doing what scientists are supposed to do, that is disproving the AGW hypothesis, reminded Tim Ball in a recent WUWT comment [19. September.], when some IPCC members required to launch criminal charges against “climate deniers”. Of course such talking is ridiculous and irresponsible. But can Tim Ball require more serious behavior? Are skeptics Continue Reading

“Although the solar effect on the North Atlantic Oscillation explains only a few percent of the total variance, the close relationship between solar activity and phase North Atlantic Oscillation is an important indicator to improve the predictability of climate variability” say GEOMAR (press-release 15. Sept. 2015) “Rising global temperatures since the industrial revolution cannot be Continue Reading

Did UK-Met get already in a 21 pages long analysis (September 2015) the first sentence wrong, by saying: “The Earth’s global average surface climate is primarily determined by the exchange of energy between the atmosphere, the oceans and space”. One may say that without being wrong, but it disguises the real dimensions over longer periods Continue Reading

MetOff. express concern (28.Aug.15; HERE-1): No-one can deny that we have had a pretty disappointing summer with a lot of unsettled weather and only a few warm spells, especially through  July and August. Meanwhile DAILYMAIL predicts (HERE-2): A cold snap will begin on Sunday in Scotland and is expected to spread southwards, bringing snowfall to Continue Reading